Structural Diagnosis

Your organization isn't
failing. It's designed
to produce these results.

I diagnose the structural patterns that make climate tech organizations underperform — then redesign the system so the same people produce different outcomes.

What I do

Structural diagnosis,
not management consulting

Strategy without fixing the system is expensive wallpaper. Coaching without fixing the system is therapy that doesn't stick. I start with the structure.

For founders

Your leadership style was an asset at 10 people. At 50 it's the bottleneck. The system needs to change — not you.

For investors

Your DD evaluates the market and the technology. It doesn't evaluate the operating structure that has to deliver on the thesis.

For climate tech

Hardware + software + government + commercial. Climate tech carries organizational complexity that SaaS frameworks can't see.

Method

Same method. Different scale.

Atmospheric modeling taught me one thing: most failures come from unexamined assumptions, not bad data. I apply the same diagnostic process to organizations — not because it's a clever metaphor, but because it's structurally the same problem.

01
// First
Observe

Most advisors skip this. They arrive with the answer. I don't form a hypothesis until I've seen what's actually happening — not what you believe is happening. These are rarely the same thing.

02
// Then
Hypothesise

I build a structural hypothesis about the root cause — the mechanism generating all the other problems. Not the symptoms you've been treating. The thing underneath them that makes failure structurally inevitable.

03
// Then
Test

We design interventions that produce data. We find out if the hypothesis holds. This is not gut feel, not best practice, not what worked at your last company. It's a structured experiment with a real feedback loop.

04
// Always
Revise

If the hypothesis was wrong, we update it. This is where most advisory engagements end — the moment the clean answer gets complicated. It's where mine starts getting accurate.

For investor engagements, the same method operates on a compressed timeline. A pre-investment organizational assessment takes days, not months. The rigor is the same. The clock is different.

Diagnostic Patterns

What's actually broken

These are the structural failure patterns I see repeatedly in climate tech organizations. If you recognize your situation, the diagnosis is already underway.

The Strategy-Execution Gap

Your strategy exists in a deck. Your team is executing something else entirely. And every advisor you've hired has told you it's a communication problem. It isn't.

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The Founder Leadership Transition

The leadership style that built your company is now the thing breaking it.

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Accidental Complexity

Your organization is more complex than it needs to be, and the person who made it that way is you. Technical founders model complex systems for a living.

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The Adaptation Trap

Your processes aren't designed. They're accumulated. Every workaround your organization has ever invented to deal with a dysfunction is now embedded in how you...

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Structural vs. Personal

You're treating a structural problem as a people problem, and it's costing you talent, time, and money. The underperformer you're about to fire.

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Scaling Breakpoints

What worked at your last stage is structurally incapable of working at this one. This isn't a metaphor.

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Mission Drift

Your organization is fighting its mission without knowing it. The strategy deck still says "climate impact." The decision-making architecture optimizes for margin.

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Optimization vs. Transformation

You're optimizing a model whose assumptions no longer hold, and every improvement is making you more efficiently wrong.

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Decision Architecture Failure

Nobody in your organization knows who can say yes. Decisions get escalated, deferred, or made by whoever cares most and pushes hardest. The org chart says one thing.

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Investor-Operator Misalignment

The board sees one company. The team is running another. This isn't deception — it's structural.

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Climate Tech Sectors

Where the patterns show up

Each climate tech subsector has its own organizational dynamics. I map the specific structural tensions in each space.

Earth Observation

Earth observation is a sector in permanent structural transition.

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Climate Adaptation

Climate adaptation is a sector where the technology works and the market doesn't. The science is solid. The products are real.

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Energy Markets & Grid Tech

Energy markets are being structurally transformed, and the companies building for this transformation are being whipsawed by the very forces they're trying to serve.

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Defense & Dual-Use

Climate tech companies don't pivot to defense because defense is more attractive. They pivot because the climate market hasn't been built.

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Carbon Capture & Removal

Carbon capture is where deep-tech R&D meets industrial-scale project development, and the organizational collision between those two worlds is where most companies stall.

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Sustainable Agriculture & AgTech

AgTech's bottleneck isn't technology. It's trust.

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All sectors →

For Investors

The DD you're not doing

65% of portfolio failures are attributed to people and organizational issues. The due diligence missed it because it wasn't looking.

Organizational Due Diligence

Your due diligence evaluates the market, the technology, and the team. It almost never evaluates the operating structure that has to deliver on the thesis.

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Portfolio Diagnosis

A portfolio company is underperforming. The market is there. The technology works. The team is talented. Something is broken and nobody can name it.

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Founder-CEO Assessment

Can this founder scale? Every investor asks it. The usual assessment is personal — leadership style, emotional intelligence, coachability, self-awareness.

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Climate Tech Operating Models

Climate tech is not SaaS. The operating model assumptions you've developed investing in software companies don't transfer to companies with hardware, regulatory dependencies, and project-based revenue.

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For Family Offices

Family offices entering climate tech bring financial evaluation expertise that's often more sophisticated than what venture capital firms apply.

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Post-Investment Support

The check is written. The company is struggling. Board advice isn't working. You've told the founder to "fix the org" three times — restructure, hire a COO, improve communication. Nothing sticks.

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All investor content →

For Impact Investors

The impact thesis
your DD can't verify

Your DD evaluates the market opportunity and the impact metrics. It doesn't evaluate whether the organization can structurally deliver on either.

Where Capital Should Flow Based on Physical Science, Not Market Narrative

Market narrative and physical science disagree on where climate capital is needed. The data points to sectors where small capital has outsized impact — and where billions flow into diminishing returns.

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The Structural Diagnostic a Family Office Needs Before Writing a Direct Check

Family office direct investing in climate tech is structurally different from fund investing. Standard financial DD misses the organizational risks that determine whether the company can deliver.

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Impact Due Diligence Evaluates the Wrong Layer

Impact measurement frameworks evaluate outputs — carbon reduced, people served, SDGs aligned. They don't evaluate whether the organization can sustain those outputs. That's the layer where impact actually fails.

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The Next-Gen Transition Is an Organizational Design Problem

87% of millennial UHNW individuals consider social impact when investing. 30% of their parents do. The content industry frames this as a values conversation. It's an organizational design problem.

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All impact content →

About

Karolina Sarna

PhD in atmospheric physics. Built €20M ARR in climate adaptation products at ICEYE. Spent years watching brilliant organizations fail for structural reasons that had nothing to do with talent. Now I diagnose what's actually broken.

Background Atmospheric physics (TU Delft) → Earth observation → Climate adaptation products → Organizational diagnosis
Domain Climate tech, Earth observation, SAR, defense & dual-use, energy markets, carbon capture
Approach Systems fail for mechanical reasons, not motivational ones. I find the mechanism.

The most expensive diagnosis
is the one you didn't do.

Get in touch See the patterns